$378.73+8.14 ▲ +2.20%Oct 5, 4:00 PM ET
Target price$15.11by DCF96.0% below the price
Crowd score25/100Crowd-driven · 0 confirming
Sentiment+0.05FinBERT, −1 to +1
Mentions · 24h53▲ +48.4% vs 7-day avg
Price × crowd
━ Price┅ Target price● Mention spike· Sample history
Why this score
2 sources
Each part compares today with this ticker's own last 60 trading days. The centre line is normal.
- Attention 35%−0.2σ
- Opinion 35%+1.1σ
- Breadth 15%+0.6σ
- Momentum 15%−0.2σ
Wikipedia −0.2σBluesky +1.1σ
- Sources confirming
- 0
- Driven by
- The crowd (no big news)
- Consensus
- 60% one side
Herd behaviour
score, last year
Fades in4.6 daysBursts of attention halve in about this many trading days.
Talk vs pricemove +1.9σToday's price move compared with the last 60 days.
StreaknoneTrading days in a row at a score of 60 or more.
What the crowd is saying
24h
- Musk+0.0484% of mentions
Valuation
drag to change
Target priceDCF$15.1196.0% below today's price of $378.73
FILINGS TO 2026-06-30
Discounted cash flow. Valued on free cash flow: what the business generates for everyone who funds it.
1.13%
Fades to terminal growth by year 10 · starts at 1.13%
2.44%
Share of revenue left as cash · starts at 2.44%
12.0%
What all investors demand each year · starts at 12.02%
2.50%
Forever, after year 10 · starts at 2.50%
How the value adds up
10 years of free cash flow, today's value$15.3B
+Everything after year 10$10.5B
Business value (EV)$25.8B
+Cash and investments$43.5B
−Debt and minority interests$9.7B
Owners' value$59.7B
÷Shares3.95B
Per share$15.11
41% of the value comes after year 10.If the rates were different
Rows: WACC. Columns: terminal growth. Centre = your settings. Green = above today's price.
| WACC ↓ g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
| 11.5% | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 12.0% | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
| 12.5% | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| 13.0% | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
The 10-year projection
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | $105B | $106B | $108B | $109B | $111B | $113B | $116B | $118B | $121B | $124B |
| Free cash flow | $2.6B | $2.6B | $2.6B | $2.7B | $2.7B | $2.8B | $2.8B | $2.9B | $3.0B | $3.0B |
| Worth today | $2.3B | $2.1B | $1.9B | $1.7B | $1.5B | $1.4B | $1.3B | $1.2B | $1.1B | $973M |
Where the starting numbers come from
- Revenue, last 12 months
- $104B
- Revenue growth: 3-yr avg / last yr
- 5.2% / -2.9%
- FCF margin: last 12 mo / 3-yr median
- 2.1% / 2.7%
- Risk-free rate
- 5.28%
- Beta (Finnhub, adjusted toward 1)
- 1.51
- Stock premium over Treasuries
- 4.5%
- Cost of equity = rf + β × premium
- 12.1%
- Cost of debt (before tax)
- 5.8%
- Tax rate
- 25.9%
- Equity share of funding
- 99%
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending − stock-based pay + after-tax interest. Growth starts at the average of the 3-year and last-year rates; the margin is the average of the last 12 months and the 3-year median.
SEC EDGAR XBRL · Risk-free: 10-year Treasury, 2026-10-02 · Beta: Finnhub, adjusted toward 1 · debt_current not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0
Key stats
Market cap$1.46T
P/E (TTM)384.6
Gross margin18.9%
Operating margin4.2%
52-week range$297.38 – $498.83
Avg volume (10 days)36.8M
Beta1.76
From Finnhub, updated a few times a day.