$525.18+7.65 ▲ +1.48%Oct 5, 4:00 PM ET
Target price$219.48by DCF58.2% below the price
Crowd score18/100Crowd-driven · 1 confirming
Sentiment+0.05FinBERT, −1 to +1
Mentions · 24h166▲ +291.2% vs 7-day avg
Price × crowd
━ Price┅ Target price● Mention spike· Sample history
Why this score
2 sources
Each part compares today with this ticker's own last 60 trading days. The centre line is normal.
- Attention 35%−2.2σ
- Opinion 35%+2.3σ
- Breadth 15%−0.3σ
- Momentum 15%+0.0σ
Wikipedia −2.2σBluesky +2.3σ
- Sources confirming
- 1
- Driven by
- The crowd (no big news)
- Consensus
- 65% one side
Herd behaviour
score, last year
Fades in1.3 daysBursts of attention halve quickly: fads come and go.
Talk vs pricemove −0.3σToday's price move compared with the last 60 days.
StreaknoneTrading days in a row at a score of 60 or more.
What the crowd is saying
24h
- Https+0.0444% of mentions
- Software+0.0416% of mentions
- Windows+0.0414% of mentions
Valuation
drag to change
Target priceDCF$219.4858.2% below today's price of $525.18
FILINGS TO 2026-06-30
Discounted cash flow. Valued on free cash flow: what the business generates for everyone who funds it.
17.0%
Fades to terminal growth by year 10 · starts at 16.96%
19.5%
Share of revenue left as cash · starts at 19.52%
9.92%
What all investors demand each year · starts at 9.92%
2.50%
Forever, after year 10 · starts at 2.50%
How the value adds up
10 years of free cash flow, today's value$722B
+Everything after year 10$871B
Business value (EV)$1.59T
+Cash and investments$76.8B
−Debt and minority interests$40.3B
Owners' value$1.63T
÷Shares7.43B
Per share$219.48
55% of the value comes after year 10.If the rates were different
Rows: WACC. Columns: terminal growth. Centre = your settings. Green = above today's price.
| WACC ↓ g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | 227 | 240 | 256 | 274 | 295 |
| 9.4% | 212 | 223 | 236 | 251 | 269 |
| 9.9% | 198 | 208 | 219 | 232 | 247 |
| 10.4% | 186 | 195 | 205 | 216 | 229 |
| 10.9% | 176 | 183 | 192 | 202 | 212 |
The 10-year projection
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 17.0% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | $388B | $448B | $509B | $571B | $631B | $687B | $738B | $780B | $812B | $832B |
| Free cash flow | $75.8B | $87.4B | $99.4B | $111B | $123B | $134B | $144B | $152B | $158B | $162B |
| Worth today | $68.9B | $72.3B | $74.8B | $76.4B | $76.8B | $76.1B | $74.3B | $71.4B | $67.7B | $63.1B |
Where the starting numbers come from
- Revenue, last 12 months
- $332B
- Revenue growth: 3-yr avg / last yr
- 16.1% / 17.8%
- FCF margin: last 12 mo / 3-yr median
- 17.2% / 21.9%
- Risk-free rate
- 5.28%
- Beta (Finnhub, adjusted toward 1)
- 1.04
- Stock premium over Treasuries
- 4.5%
- Cost of equity = rf + β × premium
- 10.0%
- Cost of debt (before tax)
- 7.6%
- Tax rate
- 19.4%
- Equity share of funding
- 99%
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending − stock-based pay + after-tax interest. Growth starts at the average of the 3-year and last-year rates; the margin is the average of the last 12 months and the 3-year median.
SEC EDGAR XBRL · Risk-free: 10-year Treasury, 2026-10-02 · Beta: Finnhub, adjusted toward 1 · debt_short not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0
Key stats
Market cap$3.84T
P/E (TTM)28.7
Gross margin67.9%
Operating margin46.7%
52-week range$349.20 – $553.72
Avg volume (10 days)23.0M
Beta1.06
From Finnhub, updated a few times a day.