$346.47+2.97 ▲ +0.86%Oct 5, 4:00 PM ET
Target price$88.57by DCF74.4% below the price
Crowd score61/100Crowd-driven · 1 confirming
Sentiment+0.01FinBERT, −1 to +1
Mentions · 24h351▲ +637.8% vs 7-day avg
Price × crowd
━ Price┅ Target price● Mention spike· Sample history
Why this score
2 sources
Each part compares today with this ticker's own last 60 trading days. The centre line is normal.
- Attention 35%+0.3σ
- Opinion 35%+4.9σ
- Breadth 15%−0.6σ
- Momentum 15%+1.5σ
Wikipedia +0.3σBluesky +4.9σ
- Sources confirming
- 1
- Driven by
- The crowd (no big news)
- Consensus
- 55% one side
Herd behaviour
score, last year
Fades in1.9 daysBursts of attention halve quickly: fads come and go.
Talk vs pricemove +0.3σToday's price move compared with the last 60 days.
Streak1 dayTrading days in a row at a score of 60 or more.
What the crowd is saying
24h
- Com−0.0243% of mentions
- App+0.0319% of mentions
- Meta+0.0817% of mentions
Valuation
drag to change
Target priceDCF$88.5774.4% below today's price of $346.47
FILINGS TO 2026-06-30
Discounted cash flow. Valued on free cash flow: what the business generates for everyone who funds it.
13.8%
Fades to terminal growth by year 10 · starts at 13.80%
10.2%
Share of revenue left as cash · starts at 10.19%
10.3%
What all investors demand each year · starts at 10.27%
2.50%
Forever, after year 10 · starts at 2.50%
How the value adds up
10 years of free cash flow, today's value$450B
+Everything after year 10$491B
Business value (EV)$941B
+Cash and investments$242B
−Debt and minority interests$100B
Owners' value$1.08T
÷Shares12.23B
Per share$88.57
52% of the value comes after year 10.If the rates were different
Rows: WACC. Columns: terminal growth. Centre = your settings. Green = above today's price.
| WACC ↓ g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.3% | 91 | 96 | 101 | 107 | 114 |
| 9.8% | 86 | 90 | 94 | 99 | 105 |
| 10.3% | 81 | 85 | 89 | 93 | 98 |
| 10.8% | 77 | 80 | 84 | 87 | 92 |
| 11.3% | 74 | 76 | 79 | 82 | 86 |
The 10-year projection
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | $507B | $571B | $636B | $699B | $761B | $818B | $869B | $913B | $947B | $971B |
| Free cash flow | $51.7B | $58.2B | $64.8B | $71.3B | $77.5B | $83.4B | $88.6B | $93.0B | $96.5B | $99.0B |
| Worth today | $46.9B | $47.9B | $48.3B | $48.2B | $47.6B | $46.4B | $44.7B | $42.6B | $40.1B | $37.2B |
Where the starting numbers come from
- Revenue, last 12 months
- $446B
- Revenue growth: 3-yr avg / last yr
- 12.5% / 15.1%
- FCF margin: last 12 mo / 3-yr median
- 6.0% / 14.3%
- Risk-free rate
- 5.28%
- Beta (Finnhub, adjusted toward 1)
- 1.14
- Stock premium over Treasuries
- 4.5%
- Cost of equity = rf + β × premium
- 10.4%
- Cost of debt (before tax)
- 5.8%
- Tax rate
- 18.4%
- Equity share of funding
- 98%
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending − stock-based pay + after-tax interest. Growth starts at the average of the 3-year and last-year rates; the margin is the average of the last 12 months and the 3-year median.
SEC EDGAR XBRL · Risk-free: 10-year Treasury, 2026-10-02 · Beta: Finnhub, adjusted toward 1 · long_term_investments not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0
Key stats
Market cap$4.20T
P/E (TTM)17.2
Gross margin60.9%
Operating margin33.1%
52-week range$235.84 – $408.61
Avg volume (10 days)27.6M
Beta1.21
From Finnhub, updated a few times a day.