$229.79-4.90 ▼ -2.09%Oct 5, 4:00 PM ET
Target price$228.71by DCF0.5% below the price
Crowd score37/100Crowd-driven · 0 confirming
Sentiment+0.08FinBERT, −1 to +1
Mentions · 24h37▼ -10.4% vs 7-day avg
Price × crowd
━ Price┅ Target price● Mention spike· Sample history
Why this score
2 sources
Each part compares today with this ticker's own last 60 trading days. The centre line is normal.
- Attention 35%+1.7σ
- Opinion 35%+0.2σ
- Breadth 15%no data yet—
- Momentum 15%+0.9σ
Wikipedia +1.7σHacker News +0.2σ
- Sources confirming
- 0
- Driven by
- The crowd (no big news)
- Consensus
- 78% one side
Herd behaviour
score, last year
Fades in3 daysBursts of attention halve quickly: fads come and go.
Talk vs pricemove −0.8σToday's price move compared with the last 60 days.
StreaknoneTrading days in a row at a score of 60 or more.
What the crowd is saying
24h
- Com+0.0124% of mentions
- Whatsapp+0.0721% of mentions
- Data+0.0321% of mentions
Valuation
drag to change
Target priceDCF$228.710.5% below today's price of $229.79
FILINGS TO 2026-07-31
Discounted cash flow. Valued on free cash flow: what the business generates for everyone who funds it.
9.70%
Fades to terminal growth by year 10 · starts at 9.70%
25.6%
Share of revenue left as cash · starts at 25.56%
9.64%
What all investors demand each year · starts at 9.64%
2.50%
Forever, after year 10 · starts at 2.50%
How the value adds up
10 years of free cash flow, today's value$100B
+Everything after year 10$116B
Business value (EV)$216B
+Cash and investments$11.4B
−Debt and minority interests$39.3B
Owners' value$188B
÷Shares0.82B
Per share$228.71
54% of the value comes after year 10.If the rates were different
Rows: WACC. Columns: terminal growth. Centre = your settings. Green = above today's price.
| WACC ↓ g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6% | 238 | 254 | 273 | 296 | 323 |
| 9.1% | 219 | 233 | 249 | 268 | 290 |
| 9.6% | 203 | 215 | 229 | 245 | 263 |
| 10.1% | 188 | 199 | 211 | 224 | 240 |
| 10.6% | 175 | 185 | 195 | 207 | 220 |
The 10-year projection
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | $48.2B | $52.5B | $56.7B | $60.9B | $64.8B | $68.5B | $71.9B | $74.8B | $77.3B | $79.2B |
| Free cash flow | $12.3B | $13.4B | $14.5B | $15.6B | $16.6B | $17.5B | $18.4B | $19.1B | $19.8B | $20.3B |
| Worth today | $11.2B | $11.2B | $11.0B | $10.8B | $10.5B | $10.1B | $9.6B | $9.2B | $8.6B | $8.1B |
Where the starting numbers come from
- Revenue, last 12 months
- $43.9B
- Revenue growth: 3-yr avg / last yr
- 9.8% / 9.6%
- FCF margin: last 12 mo / 3-yr median
- 26.1% / 25.0%
- Risk-free rate
- 5.28%
- Beta (Finnhub, adjusted toward 1)
- 1.17
- Stock premium over Treasuries
- 4.5%
- Cost of equity = rf + β × premium
- 10.5%
- Cost of debt (before tax)
- 6.8%
- Tax rate
- 22.2%
- Equity share of funding
- 83%
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending − stock-based pay + after-tax interest. Growth starts at the average of the 3-year and last-year rates; the margin is the average of the last 12 months and the 3-year median.
SEC EDGAR XBRL · Risk-free: 10-year Treasury, 2026-10-02 · Beta: Finnhub, adjusted toward 1 · long_term_investments not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0 · minority_interest not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0
Key stats
Market cap$193.1B
P/E (TTM)20.0
Gross margin77.3%
Operating margin18.8%
52-week range$146.32 – $269.11
Avg volume (10 days)10.9M
Beta1.25
From Finnhub, updated a few times a day.