AMZN
Amazon.com Inc$251.40-0.12 ▼ -0.05%Oct 5, 4:00 PM ET
Target price—Cash flow is negative
Crowd score52/100Crowd-driven · 1 confirming
Sentiment+0.03FinBERT, −1 to +1
Mentions · 24h312▲ +364.7% vs 7-day avg
Price × crowd
━ Price┅ Target price● Mention spike· Sample history
Why this score
3 sources
Each part compares today with this ticker's own last 60 trading days. The centre line is normal.
- Attention 35%−0.0σ
- Opinion 35%+4.3σ
- Breadth 15%−0.5σ
- Momentum 15%+1.2σ
Wikipedia −0.0σHacker News +0.2σBluesky +5.6σ
- Sources confirming
- 1
- Driven by
- The crowd (no big news)
- Consensus
- 62% one side
Herd behaviour
score, last year
Fades in1.7 daysBursts of attention halve quickly: fads come and go.
Talk vs pricemove +0.1σToday's price move compared with the last 60 days.
StreaknoneTrading days in a row at a score of 60 or more.
What the crowd is saying
24h
- Https+0.0376% of mentions
- Shop−0.0113% of mentions
Valuation
drag to change
Target priceDCF—No positive value at these assumptions.
FILINGS TO 2026-06-30
Discounted cash flow. Valued on free cash flow: what the business generates for everyone who funds it.Free cash flow is negative, so a DCF can't give a value yet. Drag the margin to see what it would take.
12.1%
Fades to terminal growth by year 10 · starts at 12.05%
-0.90%
Share of revenue left as cash · starts at -0.90%
11.0%
What all investors demand each year · starts at 11.01%
2.50%
Forever, after year 10 · starts at 2.50%
How the value adds up
10 years of free cash flow, today's value−$63.1B
+Everything after year 10−$59.5B
Business value (EV)−$123B
+Cash and investments$123B
−Debt and minority interests$133B
Owners' value−$132B
÷Shares10.79B
Per share—
If the rates were different
Rows: WACC. Columns: terminal growth. Centre = your settings. Green = above today's price.
| WACC ↓ g → | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0% | -13 | -13 | -14 | -15 | -15 |
| 10.5% | -12 | -12 | -13 | -14 | -14 |
| 11.0% | -11 | -12 | -12 | -13 | -13 |
| 11.5% | -11 | -11 | -12 | -12 | -13 |
| 12.0% | -10 | -11 | -11 | -11 | -12 |
The 10-year projection
| Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Growth | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Revenue | $869B | $965B | $1.06T | $1.15T | $1.24T | $1.33T | $1.40T | $1.47T | $1.52T | $1.56T |
| Free cash flow | −$7.8B | −$8.7B | −$9.6B | −$10.4B | −$11.2B | −$12.0B | −$12.7B | −$13.2B | −$13.7B | −$14.1B |
| Worth today | −$7.1B | −$7.1B | −$7.0B | −$6.8B | −$6.7B | −$6.4B | −$6.1B | −$5.7B | −$5.4B | −$4.9B |
Where the starting numbers come from
- Revenue, last 12 months
- $776B
- Revenue growth: 3-yr avg / last yr
- 11.7% / 12.4%
- FCF margin: last 12 mo / 3-yr median
- -3.7% / 1.9%
- Risk-free rate
- 5.28%
- Beta (Finnhub, adjusted toward 1)
- 1.34
- Stock premium over Treasuries
- 4.5%
- Cost of equity = rf + β × premium
- 11.3%
- Cost of debt (before tax)
- 5.8%
- Tax rate
- 22.6%
- Equity share of funding
- 95%
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending − stock-based pay + after-tax interest. Growth starts at the average of the 3-year and last-year rates; the margin is the average of the last 12 months and the 3-year median.
SEC EDGAR XBRL · Risk-free: 10-year Treasury, 2026-10-02 · Beta: Finnhub, adjusted toward 1
Key stats
Market cap$2.71T
P/E (TTM)20.1
Gross margin50.8%
Operating margin12.1%
52-week range$196.00 – $287.20
Avg volume (10 days)37.1M
Beta1.51
From Finnhub, updated a few times a day.