AMD

Advanced Micro Devices IncQuiet & expensive

$631.75-2.16 ▼ -0.34%Oct 5, 4:00 PM ET

Options Paper trade

Target price$54.25by DCF91.4% below the price

Crowd score32/100Crowd-driven · 1 confirming

Sentiment+0.05FinBERT, −1 to +1

Mentions · 24h114▲ +66.3% vs 7-day avg

Price × crowd

━ Price┅ Target price● Mention spike· Sample history

1M 3M 1Y 5Y

Why this score

2 sources

Each part compares today with this ticker's own last 60 trading days. The centre line is normal.

Attention 35%+2.1σ
Opinion 35%−0.1σ
Breadth 15%no data yet—
Momentum 15%−0.3σ

Wikipedia +2.1σHacker News −0.1σ

Sources confirming: 1
Driven by: The crowd (no big news)
Consensus: 74% one side

Herd behaviour

score, last year

Fades in3.5 daysBursts of attention halve in about this many trading days.

Talk vs priceloud, not movingLots of talk, little price move: the crowd hasn't moved the stock (yet).

StreaknoneTrading days in a row at a score of 60 or more.

What the crowd is saying

24h

Open0.0039% of mentions
Com+0.0625% of mentions
Ryzen+0.0618% of mentions

All narratives on Crowd →

Valuation

drag to change

Target priceDCF$54.2591.4% below today's price of $631.75

FILINGS TO 2026-06-27

Discounted cash flow. Valued on free cash flow: what the business generates for everyone who funds it.

Revenue growth, year 124.0%

Fades to terminal growth by year 10 · starts at 23.99%

Free-cash-flow margin10.1%

Share of revenue left as cash · starts at 10.12%

Discount rate (WACC)14.4%

What all investors demand each year · starts at 14.41%

Terminal growth2.50%

Forever, after year 10 · starts at 2.50%

How the value adds up

10 years of free cash flow, today's value$46.8B

+Everything after year 10$31.9B

Business value (EV)$78.7B

+Cash and investments$13.1B

−Debt and minority interests$3.2B

Owners' value$88.6B

÷Shares1.63B

Per share$54.25

41% of the value comes after year 10.

If the rates were different

WACC ↓ g →	1.5%	2.0%	2.5%	3.0%	3.5%
13.4%	56	58	59	61	64
13.9%	53	55	57	59	61
14.4%	51	53	54	56	58
14.9%	49	51	52	53	55
15.4%	48	49	50	51	53

Rows: WACC. Columns: terminal growth. Centre = your settings. Green = above today's price.

The 10-year projection

Year	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Growth	24.0%	21.6%	19.2%	16.8%	14.4%	12.1%	9.7%	7.3%	4.9%	2.5%
Revenue	$51.2B	$62.3B	$74.2B	$86.7B	$99.3B	$111B	$122B	$131B	$137B	$141B
Free cash flow	$5.2B	$6.3B	$7.5B	$8.8B	$10.0B	$11.3B	$12.3B	$13.2B	$13.9B	$14.2B
Worth today	$4.5B	$4.8B	$5.0B	$5.1B	$5.1B	$5.0B	$4.8B	$4.5B	$4.1B	$3.7B

Where the starting numbers come from

Revenue, last 12 months: $41.3B
Revenue growth: 3-yr avg / last yr: 13.6% / 34.3%
FCF margin: last 12 mo / 3-yr median: 16.1% / 4.2%
Risk-free rate: 5.28%
Beta (Finnhub, adjusted toward 1): 2.03
Stock premium over Treasuries: 4.5%
Cost of equity = rf + β × premium: 14.4%
Cost of debt (before tax): 5.8%
Tax rate: 14.6%
Equity share of funding: 100%

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending − stock-based pay + after-tax interest. Growth starts at the average of the 3-year and last-year rates; the margin is the average of the last 12 months and the 3-year median.

SEC EDGAR XBRL · Risk-free: 10-year Treasury, 2026-10-02 · Beta: Finnhub, adjusted toward 1 · debt_short not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0 · long_term_investments not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0 · minority_interest not reported on the latest balance sheet; treated as 0

Key stats

Market cap$1.03T

P/E (TTM)160.8

Gross margin53.2%

Operating margin15.7%

52-week range$163.14 – $645.46

Avg volume (10 days)22.4M

Beta2.54

From Finnhub, updated a few times a day.