NFLX

Netflix IncQuiet & expensive
$67.50+0.44 ▲ +0.66%Oct 5, 4:00 PM ET
Target price$46.74by DCF30.8% below the price
Crowd score35/100Crowd-driven · 1 confirming
Sentiment+0.04FinBERT, −1 to +1
Mentions · 24h35▲ +137.9% vs 7-day avg

Price × crowd

5060TARGET 46.74Aug 26, 2026: 19 mentionsAug 31, 2026: 18 mentionsSep 5, 2026: 23 mentionsSep 10, 2026: 22 mentionsSep 15, 2026: 25 mentionsSep 20, 2026: 23 mentionsSep 25, 2026: 68 mentionsJul 25, 2026Aug 25, 2026Sep 25, 2026

Why this score

2 sources

Each part compares today with this ticker's own last 60 trading days. The centre line is normal.

  • Attention 35%−0.6σ
  • Opinion 35%+3.0σ
  • Breadth 15%−1.1σ
  • Momentum 15%+1.3σ
Wikipedia −0.6σBluesky +3.0σ
Sources confirming
1
Driven by
The crowd (no big news)
Consensus
67% one side

Herd behaviour

score, last year
060100NovJanMarMayJulSep
Fades in2.6 daysBursts of attention halve quickly: fads come and go.
Talk vs pricemove −0.3σToday's price move compared with the last 60 days.
StreaknoneTrading days in a row at a score of 60 or more.

What the crowd is saying

24h
  • Paying+0.0338% of mentions
  • Https mintqon0.0034% of mentions
  • Reported special0.009% of mentions
All narratives on Crowd →

Valuation

drag to change
Target priceDCF$46.7430.8% below today's price of $67.50
FILINGS TO 2026-06-30

Discounted cash flow. Valued on free cash flow: what the business generates for everyone who funds it.

14.2%
Fades to terminal growth by year 10 · starts at 14.25%
22.4%
Share of revenue left as cash · starts at 22.37%
11.3%
What all investors demand each year · starts at 11.28%
2.50%
Forever, after year 10 · starts at 2.50%
How the value adds up
10 years of free cash flow, today's value$104B
+Everything after year 10$96.3B
Business value (EV)$200B
+Cash and investments$9.1B
−Debt and minority interests$14.3B
Owners' value$195B
÷Shares4.16B
Per share$46.74
48% of the value comes after year 10.
If the rates were different
WACC ↓ g →1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
10.3%4851535660
10.8%4548505255
11.3%4345474952
11.8%4142444648
12.3%3840414345
Rows: WACC. Columns: terminal growth. Centre = your settings. Green = above today's price.
The 10-year projection
Year12345678910
Growth14.2%12.9%11.6%10.3%9.0%7.7%6.4%5.1%3.8%2.5%
Revenue$55.3B$62.4B$69.7B$76.9B$83.8B$90.3B$96.1B$101B$105B$107B
Free cash flow$12.4B$14.0B$15.6B$17.2B$18.8B$20.2B$21.5B$22.6B$23.5B$24.0B
Worth today$11.1B$11.3B$11.3B$11.2B$11.0B$10.6B$10.2B$9.6B$9.0B$8.3B
Where the starting numbers come from
Revenue, last 12 months
$48.4B
Revenue growth: 3-yr avg / last yr
12.6% / 15.9%
FCF margin: last 12 mo / 3-yr median
23.5% / 21.2%
Risk-free rate
5.28%
Beta (Finnhub, adjusted toward 1)
1.41
Stock premium over Treasuries
4.5%
Cost of equity = rf + β × premium
11.6%
Cost of debt (before tax)
5.9%
Tax rate
17.2%
Equity share of funding
95%

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending − stock-based pay + after-tax interest. Growth starts at the average of the 3-year and last-year rates; the margin is the average of the last 12 months and the 3-year median.

SEC EDGAR XBRL · Risk-free: 10-year Treasury, 2026-10-02 · Beta: Finnhub, adjusted toward 1

Key stats

Market cap$279.2B
P/E (TTM)20.5
Gross margin49.1%
Operating margin35.5%
52-week range$65.08 – $124.86
Avg volume (10 days)35.0M
Beta1.61

From Finnhub, updated a few times a day.